Overall, they’re allowing a league-low 3.7 yards per carry, and just 24 percent of rushes against this defense earn first downs (11th best). They’ve allowed just three teams in the past nine games to reach 100 yards, and only two have averaged more than 3.5 yards per carry. Seattle hasn’t allowed a rushing offense to significantly outgain their yards per carry average since Week 4. Unfortunately for Swift, he’s coming back just in time to face one of the hottest run defenses in the league. Can Swift bring that back or has the identity of the offense changed too much in the past month? the Steelers and Browns-were Detroit’s two best performances of the year. If you look back at that chart, those two games-vs. This week, they get back D’Andre Swift, who was coming off back-to-back 130-yard performances before suffering a shoulder injury on Thanksgiving against the Bears. Their 4.5 yards per carry ranks ninth in the NFL, and that’s mostly without the benefit of big plays. That said, they’re still a very efficient team on the ground. They aren’t very good in short-yardage situations ( 66% conversion rate, 20th in NFL), and they get stopped for zero or negative yardage far too often ( 18 percent “stuffed” rank, 24th in NFL). The Lions' run offense isn’t quite as bad as the DVOA numbers suggest, but there is still very much room for improvement. So if Goff is in the game, I’ll give Detroit a slight advantage. This is just about as even as a matchup as you can find, but the Lions are trending upward while the Seahawks remain pretty bad. Sigh.Īdvantage: Draw if it’s Boyle, +1 Lions if it’s Jared Goff.
#LIONS AND SEAHAWKS SCORE PRO#
The former Lions' safety is now a two-time Pro Bowler in Seattle, with 13 interceptions in 2.5 seasons with the Seahawks. Overall, the Seahawks rank 23rd in yards per attempt allowed (7.3), 23rd in passer rating (95.2), and 25th in completion percentage (67.5). Reed back, which is big for them, but on the other side, Sidney Jones has had an up-and-down season. Injuries and COVID have left them shorthanded at the position. they rank 27th in pressure percentage, 29th in PFF’s pass rush grade, and 21st in ESPN’s pass rush win rate. Part of the problem is Seattle’s lack of pressure. All but three teams managed a passer rating of 90 or above this Seahawks defense. For reference, the Lions have done that four times this year. Seattle hasn’t held a single pass offense under 200 yards. Only one team all year was significantly held below their passer rating average-the Packers a couple months ago. That’s not even mentioning the crater at tight end.īut like the Falcons last week, this is not a good pass defense. And to further complicate things, Detroit could be out another three starters on offense: wide receivers Josh Reynolds and Kalif Raymond, as well as right guard Halapoulivaati Vaitai, all of whom are on reserve/COVID-19. The offense wasn’t completely ineffective, but when it came to the red zone, it was rough. Of course, the caveat here is that backup quarterback Tim Boyle limits some of that improvement, as we saw last week. It’s a modest improvement, but it’s clear as day when you’re watching. During that stretch, the Lions have outperformed defense’s passer rating average in three of five games. It’s clear to see the Lions’ improvement in the passing game, starting with the Thanksgiving game against the Chicago Bears. Let’s take a closer look at this matchup with our On Paper Week 17 preview. Point being, this shouldn’t be a team that strikes fear in their opponents, but that doesn’t mean the Detroit Lions are in for an easy win in Seattle. But Seattle was just 2-2 when Wilson went down, and this team has some fundamental flaws that we’ll get into in a second here. Russell Wilson’s injury certainly didn’t help, and the Seahawks are 2-5 in one-score games. Okay, there is a little truth to both of those. They may not be as bad as their 5-10 record suggests, but this wasn’t a Super Bowl contender that was derailed by injury or a team that just has an unlucky record in close games.
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